Sign with the Nimiq wallet that has Ultra access. The signature only proves wallet ownership and never moves funds.
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How the ranking works
- We identify possible entries and exits.Exchange withdrawals may signal accumulation; exchange deposits may signal distribution. Known exchanges, contracts, pools, validators and other non-trader accounts are excluded.
- We check what happened next.We measure NIM's price after 7, 30, 90 and 180 days, then compare it with similar signals in the same market period. The 90D and 180D results matter most; noisy 24-hour moves are not scored.
- We reward repeatable timing.The 0–100 Smart Score combines timing, consistency, risk-adjusted results, sample size, conviction and longevity across the wallet's available history.
- We require meaningful activity.A wallet needs at least 5M NIM observed across qualifying episodes, with a median episode of at least 250,000 NIM. Tiny test movements do not enter the ranking.
- We reduce luck and double counting.Small samples are pulled toward average. Nearby transfers become one episode, while recognizable pass-through wallets are ignored.
What “alpha” means. The price performance after a wallet signal, minus the typical performance of comparable signals in the same market period. Positive alpha means the timing was better than that reference.
What “hit rate” means. The share of a wallet's evaluated episodes whose combined 7D, 30D, 90D and 180D alpha was positive. It measures consistency, not guaranteed profitable trades.
What “14D flow” means. Whether the wallet's observed exchange movements over the latest 14 days point more toward accumulation or distribution. It is a recent activity label, not the timeframe used to rank the wallet.
This is not a P/L leaderboard. A transfer to or from an exchange is a clue, not proof of a trade. The ranking measures post-signal timing alpha. Atomic swaps will be included only when both direction and economic counterleg can be verified without guesswork.